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Risk matrix

Version ⁦2⁩ approvedApproved on ⁦2026-01-18⁩ · Dr. Noura M. Al-Otaibi

The probability and impact scales, the level bands and their colours, and the material-risk rule — live preview and approved versions.

Level bands

Score = probability × impact (1–25). Pick the score each level starts at.

The possible scores and where each falls

12345689101215162025

Level colours

Each level’s colour on the heat map and the score chips. The colours come from the system’s identity and stay readable in both themes.

  • Critical
  • High
  • Medium
  • Low

Material-risk rule

A «material» risk is highlighted in the register, the meeting packs and the periodic reports by the same rule.

Material now: score ⁦15⁩ and above

Probability scale

Leave a field empty to use the default label.

  1. 1

    Default: نادر

  2. 2

    Default: غير مرجح

  3. 3

    Default: محتمل

  4. 4

    Default: مرجح

  5. 5

    Default: شبه مؤكد

Impact scale

Leave a field empty to use the default label.

  1. 1

    Default: طفيف

  2. 2

    Default: محدود

  3. 3

    Default: متوسط

  4. 4

    Default: كبير

  5. 5

    Default: جسيم

Live preview

The open risks in your scope on the matrix as it will look once approved.

45 open risk
Almost certain5
Likely4
Possible3
Unlikely2
Rare1
5
10
15
320
125
4
8
412
916
220
3
6
129
512
315
2
4
36
18
210
1
2
3
4
5
1Minimal
2Minor
3Moderate
4Major
5Severe

Probability ↑ · Impact

Spread across the levels

Approved → edited

  • Critical66
  • High1212
  • Medium2424
  • Low33

Material: ⁦18⁩ → ⁦18⁩

What will change

No risk changes level with these edits.

Version history

Every approval is kept as a version; nothing before it is deleted.

  1. 2

    Version ⁦2⁩In force

    2026 review: «medium» now starts at 8, so a score of 8 (P2 × I4) counts

    2026-01-18 10:30 · Dr. Noura M. Al-Otaibi · Medium 8 · High 15 · Critical 20

  2. 1

    Version ⁦1⁩

    First version, approved with the risk & business-continuity framework

    2025-03-02 09:00 · Tariq S. Al-Yami · Medium 9 · High 15 · Critical 20

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