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PRJ-2026-016At risk4ExecutionWaterfall

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Budget (BAC)

SAR 21.5M

Actual cost

SAR 14M

⁦65%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦62%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦10%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 22.6M

SAR +1.1M

SPI · CPI

0.89Schedule performance index · 0.890.95Cost performance index · 0.95

Forecast finish

⁦2027-01-18⁩

18 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure20 November 2026

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate4 June 2025Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate3 August 2025Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate24 October 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate20 November 2026Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SAR 21.5M split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SAR 1.1M
EAC SAR 22.6M
Revised request SAR 21.5M
  • Actual spendSAR 14M
  • Committed, not spentSAR 2.4M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSAR 4.5M
  • Contingency availableSAR 645K

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SAR 21.5M
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SAR 21.5M
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SAR 21.5M
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SAR 21.5M
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SAR 21.5M

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SAR 16.4M
Contracts1 active contract
SAR 14.2M
Purchase orders⁦2⁩ orders
SAR 2.2M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SAR 7.5M

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SAR 14M
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SAR 561K
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SAR 22.6M
ContingencySAR 430K drawn of SAR 1.1M
SAR 645K

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSAR 21.5M
ApprovedSAR 21.5M
Estimate at completionSAR 22.6M
Approved equals the estimate
The estimate at completion is SAR 1.1M (⁦5.3%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2025-05-20⁩

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-31016
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-016.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦2⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦9⁩ posted · ⁦0⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SAR 430K drawn of SAR 1.1M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SAR 430K

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSAR MCommittedSAR MActualSAR MEACSAR MVarianceSAR MConsumption
1Management & governance1.671.811.811.81⁦−0.14⁩
2Analysis & design3.553.853.853.85⁦−0.31⁩
3Build8.348.378.378.37⁦−0.03⁩
4Testing & acceptance4.171.350.004.73⁦−0.56⁩
5Launch & handover3.131.020.003.55⁦−0.42⁩
Unallocated contingency0.650.000.000.32⁦+0.32⁩
Total21.5016.4014.0322.63⁦−1.13⁩

Budget split

WBS

SAR 21.5M

Budget

  • Management & governanceSAR 1.7M⁦8%⁩
  • Analysis & designSAR 3.5M⁦16%⁩
  • BuildSAR 8.3M⁦39%⁩
  • Testing & acceptanceSAR 4.2M⁦19%⁩
  • Launch & handoverSAR 3.1M⁦15%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySAR 645K⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SAR millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2027-09-24⁩+267

SPI(t) ⁦0.66⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2026-12-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SAR 20.7M
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SAR 13.3M
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SAR 14M
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SAR 21.5M
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−0.70⁩ SAR M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−7.35⁩ SAR M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.95
Value produced per riyal spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.64
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SAR 22.6M
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SAR 8.6M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−1.13⁩ SAR M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.09
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSAR 22.6M
  • If the rest goes to planSAR 22.2M
  • At cost and schedule performanceSAR 27.4M
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSAR 22.6M
  • To stay within SAR 21.5M, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.09⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SAR 22.6M

Variance at completion: ⁦−1.13⁩ SAR M

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