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PRJ-2026-004Critical4ExecutionConstruction

Al-Khobar Branch — Rehabilitation & Extension

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Rebuilding the Eastern & Northern branch office and adding a new wing with 28 training and skills-test halls.

Early warning: ⁦95%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦30⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SAR 412M

Actual cost

SAR 333.5M

⁦81%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦68%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦9%⁩

Estimate at completion

SAR 490.5M

SAR +78.5M

SPI · CPI

0.74Schedule performance index · 0.740.84Cost performance index · 0.84

Forecast finish

⁦2027-02-03⁩

126 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure13 July 2026

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate15 November 2023Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate14 January 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionConditional goDate20 June 2024Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate13 July 2026Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SAR 412M split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SAR 78.5M
EAC SAR 490.5M
Revised request SAR 412M
  • Actual spendSAR 333.5M
  • Committed, not spentSAR 70.5M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSAR 0
  • Contingency availableSAR 12.4M

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SAR 382.8M
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SAR 390.6M
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SAR 412M
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SAR 412M
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SAR 412M

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SAR 404M
Contracts2 active contracts
SAR 388M
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SAR 16M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SAR 78.5M

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SAR 333.5M
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SAR 13.3M
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SAR 490.5M
ContingencySAR 8.2M drawn of SAR 20.6M
SAR 12.4M

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSAR 382.8M
ApprovedSAR 412M
Estimate at completionSAR 490.5M
Approved is SAR 29.2M (⁦7.6%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SAR 107.7M (⁦28.1%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2023-10-31⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-71004
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-004.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦53⁩ posted · ⁦1⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SAR 8.2M drawn of SAR 20.6M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SAR 8.2M

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSAR MCommittedSAR MActualSAR MEACSAR MVarianceSAR MConsumption
1Management & governance23.9829.4329.4329.43⁦−5.45⁩
2Design & permits47.9658.8658.8658.86⁦−10.90⁩
3Civil works151.86186.38186.38186.38⁦−34.52⁩
4MEP works119.8995.6358.86137.52⁦−17.63⁩
5Handover55.9533.710.0072.11⁦−16.16⁩
Unallocated contingency12.360.000.006.18⁦+6.18⁩
Total412.00404.00333.52490.48⁦−78.48⁩

Budget split

WBS

SAR 412M

Budget

  • Management & governanceSAR 24M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSAR 48M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSAR 151.9M⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSAR 119.9M⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSAR 55.9M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySAR 12.4M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SAR millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2028-07-09⁩+648

SPI(t) ⁦0.60⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2026-09-30⁩

Planned valuePV
SAR 412M
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SAR 280.2M
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SAR 333.5M
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SAR 412M
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−53.36⁩ SAR M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−131.84⁩ SAR M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.84
Value produced per riyal spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.68
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SAR 490.5M
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SAR 157M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−78.48⁩ SAR M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.68
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSAR 490.5M
  • If the rest goes to planSAR 465.4M
  • At cost and schedule performanceSAR 564.3M
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSAR 490.5M
  • To stay within SAR 412M, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.68⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SAR 490.5M

Variance at completion: ⁦−78.48⁩ SAR M

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